December 2025 Market Update: Food, Beverage and Agribusiness

December marked the close of a transitional year for middle market Food, Beverage & Agribusiness M&A. Activity slowed sequentially, as expected, but not from lack of interest. Instead, sellers and buyers largely chose discipline over velocity, deferring launches and final decisions until early 2026 amid improving, but still uneven market signals.

Transaction Volume remained concentrated in processes that were already well advanced entering Q4. New mandates were selectively deferred as sponsors, strategics and lenders focused on clearing internal approvals, finalizing budgets and resetting underwriting frameworks for the year ahead. Notably, buyer engagement remained strong beneath the surface, particularly in categories with defensible demand, pricing power and tangible asset support.

Valuation Expectations continued to normalize. While headline multiples compressed modestly versus prior peaks, well-positioned assets with clear growth vectors, strong management teams and resilient margins continued to command competitive interest. In many cases, the bid-ask gap narrowed through structure rather than price, with earnouts, seller notes, minority rollovers and contingent value mechanisms playing a greater role in bridging differing views on near-term growth and margin sustainability.

Financing Conditions improved incrementally through the year, with senior lenders showing increased comfort underwriting stable businesses, particularly in food manufacturing, ingredients, distribution and asset-rich agribusiness companies. That said, leverage remained conservative, and buyers continued to emphasize downside protection and covenant flexibility. Equity checks, as a result, stayed elevated, reinforcing the importance of sponsor conviction and operational value creation.

Sub-sector Perspective: Interest remained strongest in businesses aligned with everyday consumption and essential supply chains, including value-added food manufacturing, specialty ingredients, dairy and refrigerated distribution, animal nutrition and ag services tied to recurring demand. Conversely, assets with higher discretionary exposure or near-term margin volatility continued to face extended diligence and more measured buyer pacing.

As we enter 2026, momentum is building. Boards and investment committees are returning with clearer cost-ofcapital assumptions and renewed appetite to transact. The early-year pipeline suggests a constructive backdrop for well-prepared sellers, particularly those who engage early, run thoughtful processes and position their stories around resilience, not just growth.

In short, December closed the book on a year of recalibration, but it also set the stage for a more active and decisive M&A environment ahead. Happy New Year!

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Mesirow Financial, Inc., member FINRA, SIPC.